Mathematics, 06.02.2021 03:50 Hellopeople233
In the year 2054 the government estimates that out of every 1,000,100 citizens 1,000,000 will remain law-abiding, and 100 will eventually commit a crime. The government is deciding whether to rely on the clairvoyant Precogs to stop the criminals before they commit the crime. If a person is going to commit a crime, the Precogs identify that person correctly 99.999% of the time (in other words, the Precogs fail to predict crime only in 0.001% of the cases). If a person is not going to commit a crime, the Precogs identify that person as law-abiding 99.99% of the times (in other words, the Precogs convict innocent people only in 0.01% of the cases). What is the probability that a person flagged as a future criminal by the Precogs will actually commit a crime
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