Please help 50 points do the total number of atoms

According to modern science, earth is about 4.5 billion years old and written human history extends back about 10,000 years. suppose the entire history of earth is represented with a 10-meter-long timeline, with the birth of earth on one end and today at the other end.

Which of these numbers of simulations of an event would be most likely to produce results that are closest to those predicted by probability theory? 15, 20, 5, 10

You're locked out of your house. the only open window is on the second floor, 25 feet above the ground. there are bushes along the edge of the house, so you will need to place the ladder 10 feet from the house. what length ladder do you need to reach the window?