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Mathematics, 07.10.2020 22:01 tori362

The perpetrator is either one or the other of the two persons X and Y. Both persons are on the run from the authorities, and after an initial investigation, both fugitives appear equally likely to be the perpetrator. Further investigation reveals that the actual perpetrator has blood type A. 10% of the population has blood type A; you may assume that the innocent one of persons X and Y has a 10% chance of having blood type A. In the investigation, you find two samples of blood; the first sample belongs to person X, and the second sample belongs to person Y. In the process of testing the blood, the sample belonging to person Y was accidentally destroyed (you may assume that the destruction was random). The sample belonging to person X was determined to be blood type A. In light of this new information, find the probability that person X is the perpetrator

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The perpetrator is either one or the other of the two persons X and Y. Both persons are on the run f...

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