Suppose we play the following game based on tosses of a fair coin. You pay me $10, and I agree to pay you $n 2 if heads comes up first on the nth toss. If we play this game repeatedly, how much money do you expect to win or lose per game over the long run

In the long run, ou expect to  lose $4 per game

Step-by-step explanation:

Suppose we play the following game based on tosses of a fair coin. You pay me $10, and I agree to pay you $n^2 if heads comes up first on the nth toss.

Assuming X be the toss on which the first head appears.

then the geometric distribution of X is:

X geom(p = 1/2)

the probability function P can be computed as:

where

n = 1,2,3 ...

If I agree to pay you $n^2 if heads comes up first on the nth toss.

this implies that , you need to be paid

       ∵  X geom(p = 1/2)

Given that during the game play, You pay me $10 , the calculated expected loss = $10 - $6

= $4

∴

In the long run, you expect to  lose $4 per game

x =-.20752

step-by-step explanation:

4^(x+2)=12

4^(x+2)=12

take the log base 4 on each side

log 4 (4^(x+2) = log 4(12)

we know log b(a^y) = y log b (a)

(x+2) log 4(4) = log 4 (12)

x+2 = log 4 (12)

we know   logb c = loga c/loga b

we want to convert to base 10   so a = 10

by default, we do not write the 10   c = 4   and b = 10

log4 10 = log 12/log 4

log4 10 = log 12/ log 4

x+2 = log 12/ log 4

subtract 2 from each side

x +2 -2 = log 12/ log 4 -2

x = 1.79248125 -2

x =-.20752