Mathematics, 15.04.2020 01:47 10040813

An oil drilling company ventures into various locations, and its success or failure is independent from one location to another. Suppose the probability of a success at any specific location is 0.25.
(a) What is the probability that the driller drills at 10 locations and has 1 success?
(b) What is the probability that the driller drills at 10 locations and has at least 2 success?

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Answers

Answer from: lucia87

a) 18.77% probability that the driller drills at 10 locations and has 1 success

b) 75.60% probability that the driller drills at 10 locations and has at least 2 success

Step-by-step explanation:

For each drill, there are only two possible outcomes. Either it is a success, or it is not. The probability of a drill being a success is independent of other drills. So we use the binomial probability distribution to solve this question.

Binomial probability distribution

The binomial probability is the probability of exactly x successes on n repeated trials, and X can only have two outcomes.

$P(X = x) = C_{n,x}.p^{x}.(1-p)^{n-x}$

In which $C_{n,x}$ is the number of different combinations of x objects from a set of n elements, given by the following formula.

$C_{n,x} = \frac{n!}{x!(n-x)!}$

And p is the probability of X happening.

10 locations

This means that n = 10

Suppose the probability of a success at any specific location is 0.25.

This means that p = 0.25

(a) What is the probability that the driller drills at 10 locations and has 1 success?

This is P(X = 1).

$P(X = x) = C_{n,x}.p^{x}.(1-p)^{n-x}$

$P(X = 1) = C_{10,1}.(0.25)^{1}.(0.75)^{9} = 0.1877$

18.77% probability that the driller drills at 10 locations and has 1 success

(b) What is the probability that the driller drills at 10 locations and has at least 2 success?

Either there are less than 2 success, or there are at least 2. The sum of the probabilities of these events is decimal 1. So

$P(X < 2) + P(X \geq 2) = 1$

We want $P(X \geq 2)$

$P(X \geq 2) = 1 - P(X < 2)$

In which

P(X < 2) = P(X = 0) + P(X = 1)

$P(X = x) = C_{n,x}.p^{x}.(1-p)^{n-x}$

$P(X = 0) = C_{10,0}.(0.25)^{0}.(0.75)^{10} = 0.0563$

$P(X = 1) = C_{10,1}.(0.25)^{1}.(0.75)^{9} = 0.1877$

P(X < 2) = P(X = 0) + P(X = 1) = 0.0563 + 0.1877 = 0.2440

P(X < 2) = P(X = 0) + P(X = 1) = 1 - 0.244 = 0.756

75.60% probability that the driller drills at 10 locations and has at least 2 success

Answer from: Quest

8y^50

step-by-step explanation:

Answer from: Quest

(2 x^3 + 7 x^2 + 5 x + 2)/(x (x + 2))

step-by-step explanation:

simplify the following:

x/x^2 + 3 x + 2 - (x (x + 1))/(x + 2)

combine powers. x/x^2 = x^(1 - 2):

x^(1 - 2) + 3 x + 2 - (x (x + 1))/(x + 2)

1 - 2 = -1:

x^(-1) + 3 x + 2 - (x (x + 1))/(x + 2)

put each term in 1/x + 3 x + 2 - (x (x + 1))/(x + 2) over the common denominator x (x + 2): 1/x + 3 x + 2 - (x (x + 1))/(x + 2) = (x + 2)/(x (x + 2)) + (3 x^2 (x + 2))/(x (x + 2)) + (2 x (x + 2))/(x (x + 2)) - (x^2 (x + 1))/(x (x + 2)):

(x + 2)/(x (x + 2)) + (3 x^2 (x + 2))/(x (x + 2)) + (2 x (x + 2))/(x (x + 2)) - (x^2 (x + 1))/(x (x + 2))

(x + 2)/(x (x + 2)) + (3 x^2 (x + 2))/(x (x + 2)) + (2 x (x + 2))/(x (x + 2)) - (x^2 (x + 1))/(x (x + 2)) = ((x + 2) + 3 x^2 (x + 2) + 2 x (x + 2) - x^2 (x + 1))/(x (x + 2)):

(2 + x + 3 x^2 (x + 2) + 2 x (x + 2) - x^2 (x + 1))/(x (x + 2))

3 x^2 (x + 2) = 3 x^3 + 6 x^2:

(2 + x + 3 x^3 + 6 x^2 + 2 x (x + 2) - x^2 (x + 1))/(x (x + 2))

2 x (x + 2) = 2 x^2 + 4 x:

(2 + x + 6 x^2 + 3 x^3 + 2 x^2 + 4 x - x^2 (x + 1))/(x (x + 2))

-x^2 (x + 1) = -x^2 - x^3:

(-x^2 - x^3 + 3 x^3 + 6 x^2 + 2 x^2 + 4 x + x + 2)/(x (x + 2))

grouping like terms, 3 x^3 - x^3 + 6 x^2 + 2 x^2 - x^2 + 4 x + x + 2 = (3 x^3 - x^3) + (6 x^2 + 2 x^2 - x^2) + (x + 4 x) + 2:

((3 x^3 - x^3) + (6 x^2 + 2 x^2 - x^2) + (x + 4 x) + 2)/(x (x + 2))

3 x^3 - x^3 = 2 x^3:

(2 x^3 + (6 x^2 + 2 x^2 - x^2) + (x + 4 x) + 2)/(x (x + 2))

6 x^2 + 2 x^2 - x^2 = 7 x^2: