Groundhog's Day is on February 2nd each year. On this day, in Punxsatawney, Pennsylvania, thousands of onlookers watch to see if Phil, the groundhog, will cast a shadow. If he does, then six more weeks of winter are predicted. If he doesn't, then an early spring is predicted. Historically, Phil's prediction has only been correct about 40% of the time.
Using complete sentences, design a simulation to determine the probability that Phil's prediction will be correct at least two out of the next three years. Make sure to explain how you would use the simulation to determine the probability.

1. f(x)=x²+10x+16

use the formula to find the vertex = (-b/2a, f(-b/2a)) , here in the above equation a=1(as, a> 0 the parabola is open upward), b=10. by putting the values.

-b/2a = -10/2(1) = -5

f(-b/2a)= f(-5)= (-5)²+10(-5)+16= -9

so, vertex = (-5, -9)

now, find y- intercept put x=0 in the above equation. f(0)= 0+0+16, we get point (0,16).

now find x-intercept put y=0 in the above equation. 0= x²+10x+16

x²+10x+16=0 ⇒x²+8x+2x+16=0 ⇒x(x+8)+2(x+8)=0 ⇒(x+8)(x+2)=0 ⇒x=-8 , x=-2

from vertex, y-intercept and x-intercept you can easily plot the graph of given parabolic equation. the graph is attached below.

2. f(x)=−(x−3)(x+1)

by multiplying the factors, the general form is f(x)= -x²+2x+3.

use the formula to find the vertex = (-b/2a, f(-b/2a)) , here in the above equation a=-1(as, a< 0 the parabola is open downward), b=2. by putting the values.

-b/2a = -2/2(-1) = 1

f(-b/2a)= f(1)=-(1)²+2(1)+3= 4

so, vertex = (1, 4)

now, find y- intercept put x=0 in the above equation. f(0)= 0+0+3, we get point (0, 3).

now find x-intercept put y=0 in the above equation. 0= -x²+2x+3.

-x²+2x+3=0 the factor form is already given in the question so, ⇒-(x-3)(x+1)=0 ⇒x=3 , x=-1

from vertex, y-intercept and x-intercept you can easily plot the graph of given parabolic equation. the graph is attached below.

3. f(x)= −x²+4

use the formula to find the vertex = (-b/2a, f(-b/2a)) , here in the above equation a=-1(as, a< 0 the parabola is open downward), b=0. by putting the values.

-b/2a = -0/2(-1) = 0

f(-b/2a)= f(0)= −(0)²+4 =4

so, vertex = (0, 4)

now, find y- intercept put x=0 in the above equation. f(0)= −(0)²+4, we get point (0, 4).

now find x-intercept put y=0 in the above equation. 0= −x²+4

−x²+4=0 ⇒-(x²-4)=0 ⇒ -(x-2)(x+2)=0 ⇒x=2 , x=-2

from vertex, y-intercept and x-intercept you can easily plot the graph of given parabolic equation. the graph is attached below.

4. f(x)=2x²+16x+30

use the formula to find the vertex = (-b/2a, f(-b/2a)) , here in the above equation a=2(as, a> 0 the parabola is open upward), b=16. by putting the values.

-b/2a = -16/2(2) = -4

f(-b/2a)= f(-4)= 2(-4)²+16(-4)+30 = -2

so, vertex = (-4, -2)

now, find y- intercept put x=0 in the above equation. f(0)= 0+0+30, we get point (0, 30).

now find x-intercept put y=0 in the above equation. 0=2x²+16x+30

2x²+16x+30=0 ⇒2(x²+8x+15)=0 ⇒x²+8x+15=0 ⇒x²+5x+3x+15=0 ⇒x(x+5)+3(x+5)=0 ⇒(x+5)(x+3)=0 ⇒x=-5 , x= -3

from vertex, y-intercept and x-intercept you can easily plot the graph of given parabolic equation. the graph is attached below.

5. y=(x+2)²+4

the general form of parabola is y=a(x-h)²+k , where vertex = (h,k)

if a> 0 parabola is opened upward.

if a< 0 parabola is opened downward.

compare the given equation with general form of parabola.

-h=2 ⇒h=-2

k=4

so, vertex= (-2, 4)

as, a=1 which is greater than 0 so parabola is opened upward and the graph has minimum.

hope this : )

5x+10 is the correct one

hope this