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Mathematics, 31.03.2020 01:29 samjohnson3637

A person visits three friends. He found that his wallet was lost when he comes back. The probabilities that his wallet will be lost at each friends’ home are 0.4, 0.2, and 0.1, respectively, in the order of visiting. Given that his wallet was lost at one of his three friend’s homes, what is the probability that his wallet was left at the first friend’s home? Hint: Define W = the wallet was lost at one of the three homes, Ai = the wallet was lost at the ith friend’s home, i=1, 2, 3. The Question gives P(A1)=0.4, P(A2|A1c)=0.2, P(A3|(A1cintersectionA2c))=0.1, and we want to calculate P(A1|W). You can find P(W) by either working on its complement or summing up the probability that all Ai occurs.

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A person visits three friends. He found that his wallet was lost when he comes back. The probabiliti...

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