Engineering, 28.11.2019 17:31 hindjssnsk

Estudio de caso teorema de bayes. las historias de casos clínicos indican que diversas enfermedades producen sistemas similares. suponga que un conjunto particular de síntomas, que se denotarán como evento m, ocurre solo cuando se presenta cualquiera de tres enfermedades, a, b o c, (para mayor simplicidad, supondremos que las enfermedades a, b y c son mutuamente excluyentes). estudios realizados demuestran estas probabilidades de adquirir las tres enfermedades: p(a) = 0,02 p(b) = 0,03 p(c) = 0,4 las probabilidades de desarrollar los síntomas m, dada una enfermedad especifica, son: p(m|a)=0,80 p(m|b)=0,97 p(m|c)=0,60 suponiendo que una persona enferma presente los síntomas m. ¿cuál es la probabilidad de que la persona tenga la enfermedad a?

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Estudio de caso teorema de bayes. las historias de casos clínicos indican que diversas enfermedades...