Dan is not sure what he should do. He can build a quadplex (.e., a building with four apartments), build a duplex, or simply do nothing. If he conducts a market survey, the survey could be either positive or negative, but it would cost him $3,000 to conduct the survey. Dan believes that there is a 50-50 chance that the survey will be positive. If the rental market is favorable, Dan will earn $25,000 with the quadplex or $10,000 with the duplex. Dan doesn’t have the financial resources to do both. With an unfavorable rental market, however, Dan could lose $15,000 with the quadplex or $8,000 with the duplex. Without conducting the survey (absence of data), Dan estimates that the probability of a favorable rental market is 0.8 and probability of unfavorable rental market is 0.2. A positive market survey would increase the probability of a favorable rental market to 0.9. Furthermore, a negative market survey would decrease the probability of a fa