You are being asked to join an organization. You are told that the members are very friendly and everyone has a great time at events the organization holds. You conclude that joining this organization will help you raise your GPA. Of what bias are you possibly guilty?
1. Insensitive to prior probabilities
2. Insensitive to predictability
3. Insensitive to prior outcomes
4. Insensitive to posterior probabilities

2.  Insensitive to predictability

Explanation:

Based on the scenario being described within the question it can be said that the bias you are most likely guilty of would be being Insensitive to predictability. This bias describes the tendency of not considering the reliability or accuracy of information that you are given, but instead only consider whether that information is favorable or not to you. Such as "you" are doing by disregarding all the positive feedback you are receiving regarding the company, and instead focusing on how it could benefit you by raising you GPA.

steering wheels are always situated on the left side of the car.

always drive on the right side of the road.

white lines separate lanes of traffic traveling the same direction.

hashed or broken lines means you may change lanes when it is safe.

solid white lines mean stay in your lane.

yellow lines separate traffic moving in opposing directions.

hashed or broken yellow lines mean you can carefully pass, paying attention to oncoming traffic.

never cross a solid yellow line (or double yellow line).

when turning left at an intersection, pass in front of any cars that are turning left from the opposing direction (do not try to pass behind them).

use the left lane to pass other cars traveling your direction.

do not pass in the right lane unless absolutely necessary.

if you are driving in the far left hand lane and someone would like to pass you, move over to the right lane when it is safe to do so and allow them to pass.

you must always yield to pedestrians.

come to a complete stop whenever you see pedestrians trying to cross the street.

never pass a school bus if it has flashing red lights. wait until the lights have stopped.

be aware of bicyclists. often they share the road with cars and are supposed to also follow general traffic laws.

be particularly careful about driving in cities with bike lanes -- always check before turning that a bike is not coming.

it is mandatory to pull over or stop at an intersection to allow an emergency vehicle to pass you if you see one traveling with lights flashing and/or a siren running.

do not overuse your car horn. horns are used almost exclusively for emergency situations or for when you feel unsafe.

explanation: