Aconsulting firm submitted a bid for a large research project. the firm’s management
initially felt they had a 50–50 chance of getting the project. however, the agency to which
the bid was submitted subsequently requested additional information on the bid. past
experience indicates that for 75% of the successful bids and 40% of the unsuccessful bids
the agency requested additional information.
a. what is the prior probability of the bid being successful (that is, prior to the request
for additional information)?
b. what is the conditional probability of a request for additional information given that
the bid will ultimately be successful?
c. compute the posterior probability that the bid will be successful given a request for
additional information.

The treasurer for pittsburgh iron works wishes to use financial futures to hedge her interest rate exposure. she will sell five treasury futures contracts at $139,000 per contract. it is july and the contracts must be closed out in december of this year. long-term interest rates are currently 7.30 percent. if they increase to 9.50 percent, assume the value of the contracts will go down by 20 percent. also if interest rates do increase by 2.2 percent, assume the firm will have additional interest expense on its business loans and other commitments of $149,000. this expense, of course, will be separate from the futures contracts. a. what will be the profit or loss on the futures contract if interest rates increase to 9.50 percent by december when the contract is closed out

Profits from using currency options and futures. on july 2, the two-month futures rate of the mexican peso contained a 2 percent discount (unannualized). there was a call option on pesos with an exercise price that was equal to the spot rate. there was also a put option on pesos with an exercise price equal to the spot rate. the premium on each of these options was 3 percent of the spot rate at that time. on september 2, the option expired. go to the oanda. com website (or any site that has foreign exchange rate quotations) and determine the direct quote of the mexican peso. you exercised the option on this date if it was feasible to do so. a. what was your net profit per unit if you had purchased the call option? b. what was your net profit per unit if you had purchased the put option? c. what was your net profit per unit if you had purchased a futures contract on july 2 that had a settlement date of september 2? d. what was your net profit per unit if you sold a futures contract on july 2 that had a settlement date of september 2

Presented below is information for annie company for the month of march 2018. cost of goods sold $245,000 rent expense $ 36,000 freight-out 7,000 sales discounts 8,000 insurance expense 5,000 sales returns and allowances 11,000 salaries and wages expense 63,000 sales revenue 410,000 instructions prepare the income statement.